I am asking here because all the political subs don’t allow a question, and US politics used to seemed so simple until to understand this man came along.

  • yiliu@informis.land
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    1 year ago

    Well, aside from what others are saying…

    Try to picture Trump on the phone with the Proud Boys, giving them explicit instructions or discussing strategy. Even if he did talk to them (which I doubt), surely it’d be his usual “We’re going to do great things, great things, we’re all great people, we’re gonna turn this thing around, it’s going to be beautiful!”

    When Russia collaborated to help Trump get elected, do you figure they talked on the phone in person? Or emailed back and forth? Motherfucker couldn’t make it through a one-page intelligence briefing, I’m not even sure he can write. Surely it was Trump’s people working with Putin’s people (several levels down in both cases).

    You need to prove that Trump personally and intentionally violated the law. It’s not enough to show that shady shit was going on around him. And that’s hard to prove, since he generally was working at a remove. And this is a guy who’s been in and out of courtrooms his entire adult life; surely he has some instinct for what kinds of things to avoid.

    • GreenBottles@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      no you have to make sure that he was involved with the conspiracy to break laws you don’t have to prove that he actually did anything as long as he was involved with the conspiracy that’s the whole point of Rico and conspiracy charges to begin with

      • yiliu@informis.land
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        1 year ago

        You can go to jail for being head of a criminal organization or conspiracy. This requires that 1) prosecutors prove that the conspiracy was in fact illegal, and engaged in illegal activity, and 2) that you were in fact the head of that conspiracy. That all requires cooperation from other defendants. So it takes time to build a case like that.

          • yiliu@informis.land
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            1 year ago

            I, uh…I think they’ve been building the case against Trump by getting convictions, confessions, and plea deals from his underlings. Which is what I said in response to the initial question: why isn’t Trump in prison, even though a lot of his underlings are? Because that was a necessary prerequisite to making the case against him, since he probably wasn’t involved in the day-to-day activities.

            I never said anything like “these are things they aren’t doing”. I’m just explaining the timing.

    • Arsenal4ever@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      The two indictments about Jan 6th and the plot to use fake electors offer a detailed look at a conspiracy. This isn’t just mob talk about “it would be awesome if this happened” – there is evidence of a coordinated effort to create fake electors and attempt to steal an election. The act of creating fake electors is a crime. The conspiracy to create fake electors is a crime.

      All of these things are a crime. The problem is, in America, people who have power are held to a higher standard. Trump will get all sorts of concessions, and slow this down like mad. What he also has is an entire network carrying water for him. Because of Fox News – which was started to avoid another Nixon, he gets to both sides this.

      • yiliu@informis.land
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        1 year ago

        Right. So to start out you prove there was a conspiracy, and you convict some of the members, and then finally you have enough evidence to go after the leader.

        Trump wasn’t directly involved in illegal stuff (in most cases), he was doing it through underlings. So you need to start with the underlings, and roll him up last.

    • nilloc@discuss.tchncs.de
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      1 year ago

      Except when he was clearly hear saying he wanted the Georgia officials to find exactly enough votes to win, on a phone call to them.

      • Alien Nathan Edward@lemm.ee
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        1 year ago

        I think my personal favorite was when he said on tape that he had stolen classified documents, they were definitely classified, that he could have declassified them and definitely chose not to do that, and that the person he was showing them to ‘shouldn’t look too close’ at them

    • prole@sh.itjust.works
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      1 year ago

      Look into RICO laws, it makes it much easier to convict people of those types of nebulous crimes. They were pretty much invented to take down mob bosses who “never personally did anything illegal.”

      The GA indictments include RICO charges.

      • yiliu@informis.land
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        1 year ago

        Yeah. But RICO charges require that you’ve got cooperation and guilty pleas from lower-ranking members of the organization, and they’re willing to point the finger at the leader and say “he’s the one who told me to do it”. So, yeah, that’s part of the reason why he’s the last one in the group to see the inside of a courtroom.

        • prole@sh.itjust.works
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          Are you joking? Numerous people have already turned on him, and those are only the ones we know about so far. You’re a fool if you think all of he people involved (many of whom Trump simply never paid, or immediately threw under the bus at his first convenience) are going to stick by him till the end.

          • yiliu@informis.land
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            1 year ago

            Oh, they’re not going to stick with him! He’s finished, IMHO. But the question was why it took so long. It’s because the other conspirators had to go first to build the case.

      • EndlessApollo@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        That’s bc collusion was made up by democrats as a way to deflect from why Clinton lost on 2016. It’s not that she’s an old corrupt fucker that nobody likes, it’s bc the ruskies came in and sabotaged her so drumpf could win (according to dems at least)

          • EndlessApollo@lemmy.world
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            1 year ago

            They’re not, at least not inherently. But afaik there’s no evidence of Trump or his administration working with Russia. Russia did interfere through social media ads and troll farms spreading disinformation, but unless there’s something I’m missing, the idea of collusion between them and Trump is just speculation

              • EndlessApollo@lemmy.world
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                1 year ago

                There’s a massive steaming pile of bad shit you can call out Trump and his administration for, working with Russia isn’t one of them. If that makes me a snowflake then merry Christmas, hope you find president Hillary under your tree :3

            • CSharp@programming.dev
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              Other than the Manafort/Kilminik stuff and Roger Stone being found guilty of obstructing the investigating of ties to Russia (surely you don’t to that if you don’t need to) there were only less-than-conviction-worthy actions by straight up everyone in his circle.

              • EndlessApollo@lemmy.world
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                1 year ago

                The roger stone stuff sounds pretty sus, I haven’t heard about that or the manafort/kilminik stuff, I’ll look that up

        • themajesticdodo@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          Russia directly helped Trump. Hillary is a piece of shit who no one wants to vote for.

          Both are true. Try and cope with it.

  • ChojinDSL@discuss.tchncs.de
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    1 year ago

    I don’t think Trump will spend a day in prison. Simply because they don’t want to set a precedent, that a u.s. president can go to jail.

    Worst that might happen, is that he’s barred from running again.

      • UnculturedSwine@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        You would think. The reasoning is that you don’t want presidents being afraid of political opponents going after them for decisions they making while they’re president. Not that I agree with that logic. Trump needs to be made an example of.

    • jecxjo@midwest.social
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      1 year ago

      State cases will definitely put him in jail. They don’t care about any of the political nonsense and honestly I’m not seeing the DoJ backing down either.

      Honestly if they dont put him away i think it will only embolden his group to make them feel they all are untouchable.

    • lemmyvore@feddit.nl
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      1 year ago

      Wouldn’t he have to be convicted of something in order to be barred? What criteria other than a conviction in a court of law could be used to disqualify him?

      • mtdyson_01@lemmynsfw.com
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        1 year ago

        Not all crimes will keep him from being president. Any guilty verdict from Georgia will send him to jail for a minimum of 5 years, no probation, no home detention. The only charges that if found guilty that would disqualify Trump from being president are with Jack Smith. Essentially, Georgia will send him to jail if he lives long enough and it will be possible for Trump to set another first, the first president to serve from jail because he could not pardon himself for state crimes and the governor has very limited pardon powers in Georgia.

        • DogMuffins@discuss.tchncs.de
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          1 year ago

          the first president to serve from jail

          I know we’re in the weirdest timeline and all but this is just too bizarre to even consider. Imagine him being incarcerated for trying to undermine democracy while being the elected head of that democracy.

          • lemmyvore@feddit.nl
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            1 year ago

            It’s already a pretty weird thing that a country as large as the US has managed to function well for 250 years with such major loopholes in its legal and executive systems and that nobody has bothered to exploit them until recently.

    • INHALE_VEGETABLES@aussie.zone
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      1 year ago

      He will be found guilty and the given a presidential pardon by Joe Biden. Joe will make him verbally concede the election in return, maybe more.

        • INHALE_VEGETABLES@aussie.zone
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          Relax buddy it’s just a silly prediction :) I’m sure if a year ago I told you what was going to happen one years time, the reactions would be similar.

          Nixon was pardoned and it’s the only comparable event in history, so it’s plausible. If there isn’t a remind me bot on Lemmy I’ll be sad… either way:

          !Remindme one year “did Biden have Trump concede the 2020 election results?”

    • dan1101@lemm.ee
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      1 year ago

      If you look at everything a politician does and think “How does this get them more money or power?” then things make more sense. There are a few exceptions but roll around with the pigs long enough and they get muddy too.

    • brcl@artemis.camp
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      1 year ago

      This is probably a correct assumption, plus it also keeps it relevant. More of his supporters/underlings going to jail and it keeps the heat on. It drew it out for how long and now the nation is ramping up for another election and Trump’s indictments start flying in.

          • DogMuffins@discuss.tchncs.de
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            1 year ago

            “gained fans” is problematic because it’s subjective, but it’s being widely reported that his polling has improved with the indictments. This is the first hit in search with some details but there are many articles like it.

            Briefly, the narrative that it’s a politically motivated witch hunt is resonating with voters.

            • SnowdenHeroOfOurTime@unilem.org
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              If the trump era taught me only a couple things, one of them is that polls aren’t really very useful.

              Yeah I don’t doubt there are some folks who now are more motivated to vote for trump… however that really exceeds the number who turned away from him?

              What other criminal in history survives literally infinite evidence against them, and not just with their existing supporters, but also that evidence actively somehow turns NEW people in their favor? AND those new people outnumber the people who finally realize the truth??I just had a literal nightmare and this scenario feels right at home in the fucked world my mind conjured.

              • bennysp@lemmy.world
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                1 year ago

                Yeah, but also remember that if there is one thing history taught us, it is that a non popular voted president can win still. Many of us were in disbelief when it happened with this guy.

                Also, don’t underestimate the fact that people may disagree with Trump, but they only have to disagree/hate Biden more in order to vote for this guy.

                So yes, I do agree that his polls may be increasing or rather, I never underestimate that they could be.

                • SnowdenHeroOfOurTime@unilem.org
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                  1 year ago

                  All fair points. I’m not resting on my laurels though. I’m just against the idea that we should be timid about prosecuting the motherfucker because of polls

              • DogMuffins@discuss.tchncs.de
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                1 year ago

                one of them is that polls aren’t really very useful

                IDK about this. We’ve certainly learned that polls are poor predictors of election outcomes, but can they at least reveal trends like “approval is increasing/decreasing” ? IDK.

        • nilloc@discuss.tchncs.de
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          1 year ago

          I watch a lot of automotive content on YouTube, and it’s been interesting seeing right wing ads evolve (and yes, the fact that I like cars means they think I’m conservative bums me out, I also subscribe to bicycle stuff and climatetown, but whatever).

          There’s a new one that is basically “Trump will lose to Biden again. Vote for anyone but him in the primary.” Kinda warmed my heart a bit.

      • nuxetcrux@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        They are also worried about setting dangerous precedents in the process of closing these loopholes we didn’t think needed closing (like the largely ceremonial congressional ratification of votes on Jan 6,or the peaceful transition of power in general) and dismantling an enterprise whose director continually aims to obstruct a good faith process to the bitter end (Trump’s attacks on legislative and judicial branches, specifically DOJ and it’s bureaus).

        Also, he’s not exactly “free.”. That being said, it is truly infuriating, and detrimental to all of us, consciously and subconsciously. It’s like Republicans are living out the ending of “Requiem for a Dream.”

  • GodlessCommie@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Because the oligarchy will never charge one of their own. No matter how loud they scream it and deny, he is one of them

  • ferralcat@monyet.cc
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    1 year ago

    I assume they’re being quadruply careful with trump. The last thing they want is to take him to court and lose.

  • WheatleyInc@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    It’s as simple as this: -Politician does something illegal -Politician is caught -Politician tells their party members they didn’t do -Party members believe politician because they’re of the same party -Politician now has millions of supporters vouching for them not to get convicted -Politician doesn’t get convicted

    It’s happened before, it’s happening now, it’ll happen again.

  • rakyat@artemis.camp
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    1 year ago

    Have faith. Coming from a country that jails our ex prime minister, I’ll say that it takes quite a lot of time.

  • linearchaos@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    I mean, I would never talk directly to them. And you would never talk directly to them. But neither one of us would go on the record on video saying we could stand in the middle of 5th avenue and shoot somebody.

    There have been plenty of cases where he’s done some incredibly stupid things that he could easily have gotten away with simply by playing along. Hell look at the documents, he could have literally just made photocopies of them said my bad and It would never have even hit the press.

    I think the legal system is just moving as slowly and carefully as possible to make sure he can’t lawyer his way out of these things.

    • nxdefiant@startrek.website
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      The actual answer is because every judge so far has deemed him trustworthy enough to not try and run from the law while he awaits trial.

      Question the wisdom of those judges for yourself, but there are plenty of people in jail that haven’t been convicted of anything.

    • AA5B@lemmy.world
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      “All”? If you can’t even get all dentists to agree you should use toothpaste, I doubt it. More importantly, he’s not convicted of anything yet

    • themajesticdodo@lemmy.world
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      This answer doesn’t address the question. Did you comment on the wrong post or are you just generally always this confused?

    • nxdefiant@startrek.website
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      The laws for who goes on the ballot are set by the individual states.

      I suppose the Federal Election Committee could deny his federal application, or the Attorney General of the U.S. could sue the FEC to force an injunction against his filing under the 14th? It’s not clear.

      In any case, regardless of how it got there, it would end up in court and be decided by the Supreme Court, which is ultra conservative right now.

      • rusticus@lemm.ee
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        Bla bla bla.

        It’s not ambiguous. You either follow the Constitution or you are a traitor to it.

        • nxdefiant@startrek.website
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          I’m literally describing to you how that process works. It doesn’t matter by what avenue it happens, it’ll absolutely end up in front of the supreme Court, and then they’ll get to decide to agree with whatever decision was made or reverse it.

          • ???@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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            1 year ago

            Unless they have a reason to lock him up to protect their own interests, the Supreme Court is probably not going to do shit. That’s WHY Trump picked them, as an “insurance measure”, and unfortunately it seems to be working.

  • jet@hackertalks.com
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    1 year ago

    It’s very political, because of course it is!

    As the president, and now ex-president, of the United States there are a significant number of political factions at play. If you’re going to go for the king you better not miss, definitely applies to the politics of the president.

    People in his orbit, don’t have the same political protections, they won’t create as much trouble when they go down. So they go down. They simply don’t have the protection the leader has.

    • folkrav@lemmy.world
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      It’s very political, because of course it is!

      The fact that the political is influencing the judicial is a thing should warrant a “very unfortunately”, being an utter travesty of the very concept of separation of powers. That it gets an “of course” says a lot about the state of the system itself.

  • AnthoNightShift@lemmy.ca
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    Because this needs to be done 1000% right, there is no margin for error, everything has to be done in an iron clad manner that cannot be dismantled by half-assing it. Indicting a former president is a first in the history of this country, and this former president is nothing short of a cult leader with millions of unshakable followers, many of whom are armed to the teeth and ready to burn this country to the ground for him. So this has to be done very friggin carefully.

    • scarabic@lemmy.world
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      In addition to being done right, he has to be pampered. I hate him passionately, but I really mean that. Subjecting him to the indignities of stuff like handcuffs, a mugshot, an orange suit, etc will turn him into a martyr in the eyes of his cult followers. And while the rest of us would enjoy seeing it, that’s not necessarily bringing out the best in us either. Donald Trump is an enormous pot-stirrer and unless you really want the pot to boil over you need to tiptoe around him, as unfair as that is.

      • Alien Nathan Edward@lemm.ee
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        1 year ago

        turn him into a martyr in the eyes of his cult followers

        they’re gonna continue to be terrorists no matter what we do and I’m sick of bowing to their terrorism

        • scarabic@lemmy.world
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          Choosing not to aggravate them is not bowing to them. Remember we’re talking about how we’ll prosecute Dear Leader. Get him where it counts, even if it has to be done quietly.

      • PickTheStick@lemmy.world
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        What’s it matter? Because a large portion of those millions of followers are going to be in positions where they can do damage. You want to swing every single one to believe that the law was carried out in a manner true and faithful.

        Imagine, if you will, if somehow the federal government passed a law banning firearms for private use. Right now. Do you think the police in most places would actually go around and try to seize firearms? Fuck no, and not just because they aren’t suicidal morons. Most of them think people should be able to own firearms. It would be chaos as some attempted to follow the law, and others did everything they could to sabotage it.

        Now extend that to the military/national guard (and if it was “millions of followers” burning the country down, the military/national guard would get involved) in the event of Trump conviction and an imminent/happening revolt/riot. Imagine how many it would take to create mayhem inside of bases/squads/etc. Even if you want to be really positive and say that the military had plans for contingencies where they can effectively stop traitorous members, it would still take a chunk of operating efficiency.

        Now extend that to everywhere. State governments, counties, cities, business offices, doctor’s clinics, hospitals, sanitation departments, etc. etc. etc. You might think that they’re “all self-fulfilling, selfish, egotistical, narcissistic, irresponsible and demented people,” but don’t be childish. People are people. There are all sorts in that group, and they all have varying levels of commitment and care about the issue. Some can be convinced.

        So, think of the way this is being handled as an effort by a large group of people to head off complaints that could be made and accusations about incorrect handling that would give cretins something to latch onto and endlessly jabber about, thus preventing a potentially swayed individual from coming to the conclusion that yes, Trump was lawfully convicted without conspiracy because he actually fucking broke the law many, many times.

    • PeleSpirit@lemmy.world
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      I would kind of agree with you but I think it’s more that there are Republicans blocking any way they can and the ominous shadow of a compromised SCOTUS:

      https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2019/04/mueller-barr-and-their-pre-trump-friendship/588151/

      https://www.businessinsider.com/fbi-whistleblower-senate-judiciary-russia-giuliani-leak-trump-allies-fuks-biden-2023-8?op=1

      Edit: what’s up with the fuks in the web address, lol

    • Jumper775@lemmy.world
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      If it was really that bad the cia would have him killed. It’s just because he had a good team of lawyers to make sure that when he did anything he did it was either defendable or on someone else so it’s hard to get him.

        • Jumper775@lemmy.world
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          Absolutely. You can estimate the number of true followers he has by looking at how many people use truth social (it’s still a thing) in comparison to pre-musk twitter. It’s a vocal minority. The only reason trump was able to get where he did was by getting the electoral college to believe he was the lesser evil (not gonna get into voter fraud) (and being really, really rich). They have him killed in such a way that it seems like it wasn’t them and he is still viewed as a martyr by few, but not all. Even if they truly believe that he was what they said he was, it won’t matter because no one rich enough exists that would want to replace him. They would be okay to do that.

      • qaz@lemmy.world
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        The CIA really isn’t going to assasinate a prominent politician, let alone a former president. It would have massive consequences from delegitimizing the democratic system to causing riots all around the country.

    • pinkdrunkenelephants@sopuli.xyz
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      1 year ago

      So why do we have to be so afraid of his followers that we are giving him special treatment to dissuade their violence? Instead of, you know, fighting back or having them jailed too. 🤦

      • monsterpiece42@reddthat.com
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        1 year ago

        Nearly 63,000,000 people voted for trump in '16.

        If even 1% of them are crazy fucks, that’s 630,000 people to deal with. That’s not something to take lightly.

        Doesn’t make it right, but it’s another layer of complexity.

      • LEDZeppelin@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Muller half assed the investigation, on top of that corrupt Barr hid all the important findings, and Bitch McConnell swept the whole treason under the rug - that all lead Orange Man to be even bolder with his treason and rise of blatant lawlessness within the Republican Party.

        I don’t disagree with what you said but I just wanted to point out how entire republican machinery is responsible for the imminent death of democracy in this country. Not just Muller’s half assed investigation.

      • Earthwormjim91@lemmy.world
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        Mueller didn’t half ass anything. He conducted his investigation and determined that crimes were likely committed, but that he didn’t have the power to bring charges in his position as special counsel and it would be up to the AG.

        Which is true. A DOJ special counsel is not the same thing as the independent counsel that used to exist, which was what Ken Starr was when he investigated Clinton.

        A DOJ special counsel is completely beholden to the AG and DOJ policies and can’t bring charges without the AG signing off on them.

        If you actually read the mueller report, it’s extremely damning and he turned it over to the AG and Congress to do something about it. The AG declined to bring any charges based on a DOJ memorandum that says a sitting POTUS cannot be charged. The House impeached Trump over the findings and the Senate failed to convict and remove him.

        The current AG could still bring criminal charges over the conclusion of the report, but at this point it’s been so highly politicized that it would be impossible to get a conviction on.

        • Cryophilia@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          Stop saying “the AG”. Say his fucking traitor name. William Barr. Who only got cold feet at the 11th hour when the groundwork for the coup was already being made.

          The Mueller report - as you say, damning - was completed and then given to this scum, who withheld it, released a “summary”, claimed it found no wrongdoing whatsoever, eventually released a heavily redacted version…

          I mean I remember it happening. This slimy fuck. He got a report that said the many ways Trump did illegal shit, but since he was the one who could choose when and how to release it, he was able to get ahead of the media by saying all kinds of bullshit lies. By the time he was finally forced to release the real report, it was too late, the “Trump did nothing wrong” story was already too far out there.

          Look, I’m glad he finally, barely, by the skin of his teeth did the right thing and said there was no fraud in the 2020 election. But we should not forget that brazen bullshit he pulled in front of Congress and the American people.

          • Earthwormjim91@lemmy.world
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            1 year ago

            It was the only thing that could have been done when republicans controlled the DOJ and the Senate.

            Maybe if people in the Midwest weren’t complete idiots we would have had Clinton instead and not had four years of irreversible damage plus a generation of scotus that is hell bent on dismantling everything.

            • rusticus@lemm.ee
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              1 year ago

              Please don’t depress me from the reminder that Obama/Hillary should have seated 3 SCOTUS justices, cementing sanity for a generation.

            • TheDarkKnight@lemmy.world
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              1 year ago

              Seems weird to think that something that accomplished absolutely nothing is a good use of taxpayer money but go off fam on the midwest.

              • Earthwormjim91@lemmy.world
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                1 year ago

                It accomplished the third presidential impeachment in history and very likely helped lead to Biden winning and Trump not getting four more years.

                Saying absolutely nothing is just defeatism at its best.

                Just because it didn’t lead to the right conclusion doesn’t mean it accomplished nothing.

                • kent_eh@lemmy.ca
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                  1 year ago

                  Just because it didn’t lead to the right conclusion doesn’t mean it accomplished nothing.

                  Plus the evidence discovered during te investigation stillnexists and is still part of the official record, meaning it can be used to support any future legal actions. And will serve as information for future historians looking back at this era.

                  Hopefully it can be used as part of some future “those who ignore history are doomed to repeat it” systemic improvements.