Ten years is really a pretty small jump. It’s not like things are wildly different today than in 2013.
In 10 years we went through a huge jump. Mass use of smart phones, new PoS systems, the internet has become overly censored, forest fires like we have never seen before, covid, powerful handhelds, AI… Things are exponential right now
Still a matter of degrees. Smart phones were 57% of the market in 2013. Not sure what point of sale system advancements in the last decade you’re talking about that are very revolutionary - we’ve certainly had online connected credit cards systems for decades. Really, all those things are pretty evolutionary in the span we’re taking about, with AI poised to be the most impactful for hasn’t been in the period.
Smart phones were already huge. The first Pixel came out in 2013, replacing the Nexus, the iPhone was on the 5 and 5s, and the Galaxy S4 was released.
Covid, AI, larger fires are the main things out of your examples that have changed dramatically, but I don’t think any of them have been exponential changes. For most people, covid is probably the largest, and if they did not lose anybody and are healthy themselves, the main thing that changed is potential wfh options and everything being more expensive.
Thank you. I feel like I’m talking crazy pills reading this thread.
The world wasn’t a terribly different place ten years ago. Sure, some things are more messed up now, and we have some neat new widgets. But i seriously doubt Apple Pay, the steam deck, and
fancy autocorrectI mean chatGPT, have really shifted the world that much.More people having smart phones has lead to a societal change where they’re becoming more and more necessary for everyday life, but I could still love my life without one just fine, and many of my older family members are doing just that. I think I’ve used Apple Pay like once in my life when I forgot my wallet at home, and chatGPT reminds me of talking to a dementia patient more than Skynet.
Now if the question was what the year 2053 would be like, that would be way more interesting. Back in 1993, I don’t think anyone would have accurately guessed what was going on now. Being able to browse the internet on your phone would have seemed nearly pointless and infinitely painful. The internet and internet advertising being a deciding factor in national elections would sound crazy. Electric cars being somewhat affordable and practical would sound like we live in the jetsons.
I think 2053 is gonna be wild. Hopefully I don’t die of dehydration or catastrophic weather before we get there.
It feels like some people are imagining 2003 instead of 2013, which I get, in my mind 2003 was only about ten years ago too.
Honestly like the biggest change since 2013 is probably twitter starting to rot
looks around, gestures vaguely
Climate change is worse, US politics more polarized, phones are bigger, computers are faster, etc. But if someone went to sleep in 2013 and woke up in 2023, it might take them a little bit to notice the changes.
Heat dome wasn’t a word in 2013. Fire weather meant a dry day, not a tornado forming inside of a wild fire.
It did in parts of Canada. America just wasn’t paying attention.
Heat dome and heat island have been used for a couple decades in Arizona.
Yeah, it’s worse now. But it’s not super dramatic.
You’re like the Black Knight from Holy Grail
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Social media was already massive, it was just primarily Facebook and Twitter (Arab Spring heavily involved social media). The US tea party movement had been around for a few years, some people were still very jazzed up about Affordable Care Act, only part of the defense of marriage act had been overturned and lawsuits would continue for a few more years. Conservatives hated Obama and were already talking about taking their country back.
Most everything in the US is just extrapolation plus some pandemic fuel.
The futuristic world of 2033 will be very different from our current primitive one. Humans will be seven foot tall with thumbs as long as fingers. Mars will have been fully terraformed, whilst there’ll be hundreds of vast floating cities on Venus. A Dyson swarm will encircle the solar system just beyond Neptune’s orbit. Humanity will communicate telepathically as one with AI. We still won’t understand cats.
What about flying cars?
With the amount of accidents and deaths drivers cause on the ground I’d rather flying cars not exist.
Yeah… If two cars collide in mid air, you’re going to see some burning steel raining on your roof and backyard. What a lovely thought.
I honestly don’t think they’ll exist yet. Just trying to be realistic.
Yeah, making a hunk of steel stay in the air is physically impossible.
Helikopter helikopter
That must mean that the cats will have transcended by then if such advanced humans could still not understand them. Welp, guess my only option is still blink slowly and pay them katzen the respect they expect
Crispy
We will likely have hit 1.5 + degrees of warming in 10 years time so our society may look quite different. It’s likely that our supply chains will be disrupted by this and become more localised as rising temperatures / intensifying weather events impact our capacity to grow / distribute as much food as we do now. There may potentially be Pacific Nations that no longer exist due to sea level rise. We will likely also see the beginning of a significant climate refugee crisis that nations in the global north will struggle to respond to.
I grilled dinner tonight out on our deck wearing a painters mask because the smoke from the wildfires around here is so thick it looks like it’s pissing rain outside. Only when I caught myself in the mirror with my plate, mask and tongs did I start to think, this seems a little odd.
Civilization will be crawling on its hands and knees, dying.
The rich will all be trying to pile into New Zealand.
America will be a warzone.
I’ll have been killed by a flash mob stealing food from vulnerable houses.
Canada will be overrun by refugees, with rampant disease and cannibalism in the camps.
The republicans in the USA will still deny climate change, saying it’s all a hoax.
The middle east and india will be uninhabitable.
Nuclear weapons use will be widespread.
The Internet won’t exist anymore.
Everyone reading this comment will be dead.
I’ll be surprised if all this eventuates in the next ten years
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Same, but slightly more on fire.
Not much different. Foldable phones will be widespread, American cars will be bigger, shaving machines will have more blades, natural disasters will be more common. We will go through one or two more cycles of drought/forest fires and heavy rains/floodings. We will see one or two mass migrations from India, Pakistan and Africa resulting in first climate refuge camps on the borders of EU.
So you are telling me there still won’t be flying cars in 10 years? smh
We have flying cars right now they’re called helicopters. You just don’t have one because they’re expensive.
I like the cut of your
jibblade, sailor.
Flying cars are a terrible idea. We can barely keep them rolling on the ground. Do you really want several tones of metal floating above your head?
Yes. Every single day, almost every person I see driving is looking at their cell phones or holding them at their mouth talking. I mean those odds should be astronomical, but it’s more common than not. Imagine adding another dimension of travel to that…
There will be exactly 4 flying cars in 10 years.
I’m the oracle, I have spoken!
Yeah, as the pinnacle of human achievement, we need to bring traffic congestion to the skies.
Foldable phones will be widespread
Very unlikely.
Wanna bet?
Sure. Ping me in 10 years and I will give you an upvote if you are right.
Deal!
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you forgot the next pandemic
shaving machines will have more blades
I wish they’d just work out how many blades is the optimum number of blades, and then put that number of blades on. Why are we doing this iterative design approach.
Anecdotally, I’ve found that answer to be one.
It’s one. I’d been annoyed with razor burn, nicks & cuts, spots, etc. I switched to a simple double sided safety razor and I’m really enjoying it. As far as I’m concerned all this 8 blade turbo fusion slice and dice is all marketing.
Same as it does now, just with slightly less effective money.
Maybe a little sweatier and thirsty.
Bernie Sanders will be announcing his bid for presidency
and showing off his new titanium carapace, shaped like a Gundam
build more philons
I could get behind a mobile suit Sanders.
We’re definitely going to see jobs affected by ChatGPT and the like. It’s an open question of “Can LLMs do things as well as humans?” across the board, but when have you seen a company turn down a deal like “slightly shittier, but costs pennies on the dollar and doesn’t have any pesky ‘rights’”?
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Still waiting for that VR quantum blockchain technology to affect jobs
I hope these things will happen
-
Governments invest more money on grid energy storage
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green hydrogen becomes more common
I fear these will also:
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global warming gets worse
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Trump gets elected
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Watching a few more seasons of the Shitshow is surprisingly entertaining
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My guess: Electric vehicles everywhere, protests, more linux users, and portless phones will be the norm
Edit: Oh yeah privacy is dead or at least much more harder to obtain
2033 is the year of Linux on the desktop.
“This year for sure” :^)
1984
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This is something that I feel like Brave New World got a lot more right. In that book, people’s pleasures are their prisons.
More Linux users is really a coin flip in my mind. It feels like Linux had more users in 2016 than now. Linux had more games natively support it than today and proton for be had been really hit or miss. We’ll see if steam os ever comes to the desktop because I could see that being a major benefit to the Linux market but I don’t see it significantly growing before then on desktops.
You can install Proton (the game compatibility layer) on desktop Linux now, can’t you?
Yes, you always could. That’s not my point at all. Linux in general has been less stable through updates than Windows in my expense and in a lot of people’s experience. Steam os preserves root and wipes all packages that aren’t supported in the base install every update. So it forces stability. This is the length Valve has gone to in order to make Linux stable. Android is also stable in that same way. By making root fs essentially read only.
To make Linux more stable you have to reduce user choice and a lot of users are okay with this.
FUD.
Begin homeless will be an actually standard in Europe and USA.
Global warming will get worse, maybe a run away effect might start.
