I honestly think it sure will. People will probably go in 3 directions:
- Mastodon
- Wait for Bluesky
- Wait for Instagram “Threads”
Honestly, if people go fediverse way, they definitely should choose something like Misskey/Calckey. They’re much better options than mastodon IMO
I came to Lemmy and Mastodon today instead of Twitter and Reddit. So far, the experience has been positive.
Welcome!
Mastodon is best for sure!
Mastodon is good. But I find Calckey more appealing for average “Twitter user”. Again, it’s only my personal opinion
New signups have been crashing Cohost for much of this morning, and it looks like a lot of folks are seeing new Mastodon users as well
The problem with Mastodon is that they don’t have very many major entities actively making posts. The main thing I track on twitter is OSINT and US politics, and that community basically doesn’t exist on Mastodon right now
That explains why it feels so empty, I can’t find any actual content on Mastodon despite how huge it supposedly is compared to Kbin and Lemmy
Been on mastodon for a couple of years. It’s excellent.
Mastodon is very stable and just excellent.
I think we shouldn’t expect to see the same sort of migration from Twitter to Mastodon like we did for Reddit to Lemmy. Because of network effects, Mastodon will have a much harder time attracting refugees. What you can hope for is more of a slow drip as Twitter users get fed up with the platform. Every migrant to Mastodon makes it that much easier for the remaining Twitter users to move as well.
I’m hopeful but I wouldn’t count on it.
Consider the case where Twitter dies all at once. I really think we’re headed in that direction.
I don’t see how it doesn’t. I think the scenario in which Twitter survives through the end of the year is pretty much impossible at this point without significant outside financial intervention.
I believe this will increase the fediverse population, but ultimately I see a new centralized service emerging soon. Though, I do hope the fediverse becomes the prominent place for social content!
A lot of people seem to be going to blue sky, but I don’t really see what the point is of moving to something else that’s run by a single company again. Mastodon seems better when it comes to future proofing.
Their resistance to anything that resembles a discovery algorithm kind of sucks tho. I know they can be bad in the wrong hands, but it would be nice to see who else is on there and what everyone is talking about.
Yeah, Mastodon will gain some more.
I think the issue with the Twitter->Mastodon conversion is that this style of social media is about following people and therefore people will stay where the people they want to follow are. So it becomes a bit of a difficult situation where people won’t move as a person they want to keep in touch with won’t move which means more people won’t move.
Reddit->Lemmy likely won’t have the same problem as this style is about following content rather than people.
Calckey should absolutely be pushed for potential replacement, since it mirrors more closely the experience that Twitter users are used to.
I don’t think we’ll see a major migration, though. I think Twitter falling will just result in more fragmentation. I don’t think we’ll ever have a case like before where there’s ONE major social media platform that everyone goes to (which is why ActivityPub is so important).
At least small artists have been really signing up since last night/this morning on mastodon.art. It is already causing a wave. Calckey is trying to grab more people, but half the shit doesn’t load for me right now so they can’t take the brunt of it.
