Luigi Mangione tried, convicted of murder, and sentenced to life in prison. (I lose if no trial occurs in 2025, whether due to plea deals, procedural delays, or he gets Epsteined. I also lose if either NY or federal trial results in either acquittal or hung jury.)

There will be riots. There will be arrests at those riots. Some of them will be sent to Guantanamo Bay.

Most of these are probably wrong. But it’s a ‘fun’ little game.

• Large chunks of the federal government grind to a halt under Musk’s incompetent meddling and Trump’s leech off interest, and daily life for many Americans starts to get impacted in weird and unpleasant ways.

• Food prices climb sharply through the year as more and more migrant workers are deported or abandon their jobs picking fruits and vegetables, and there’s nobody to replace them.

• Texas’ power grid collapses again.

• Trump and Musk have a big falling out over some stupid shit, but patch it up at their backers’ insistance.

• The Democrats continue to flail around, unable to register with voters even with all the chaos and increasing dissatisfaction with the Trump administration.

• Trade partnerships between Mexico and Canada strengthen.

• Bird flu starts spreading human to human and we enter a new pandemic (not towards the end of the year through).

• The war between Russia and Ukraine continues. Ukraine loses ground territorially, but also continues to have some spectacular guerilla warfare successes. North Korea’s troops there start doing a bit better on the battleground.

• Technology stocks rebound after various AI-oriented companies retool to capitalize on DeepSeek.

• Punitive US government actions targeting companies that offend Elon Musk begin, followed by a deluge of law suits to protest them.

• The Project 2025 goon hires start their new jobs with the federal government and cause a ton of legal problems, not least because of their lack of impulse control, lack of training and ability, and discriminatory tendencies.

• Some US federal government employees resist Musk’s stupid shenanigans but are crushed under his boot. They then launch many lawsuits against the government.

• Major cross border wars begin breaking out in central Africa.

• Hate crimes in the US and many European countries continue to increase.

• The housing insurance market completely collapses in various parts of America.

• An alliance of East Asian countries behind to form to attempt counter China’s regional dominance.

• The genocide in Palestine continues while the world looks the other way, distracted by other crises and an unwillingness to intervene. Iran and Israel begin an economic and cyber war if attrition against each other, with Israel faring better.

• The EU begins to politically collapse. Nordic nations begin to form a closer economic and military alliance.

• The UK’s Labour government faces not crises of their own making and several ministers are replaced, which along with a small number of local election results going badly for the party puts more pressure of Keir Starmer.

• Reddit admins do another heavy-handed crackdown on mods, this time in those who are blocking Twitter in their communities.

• Bluesky usage continues to grow rapidly, to the point where it is a serious competitive to Trust by the end of the year. This also takes a lot of the steam out of Mastodon’s growth.

So basically:

• Lots of lawsuits
• Lots of chaos
• Not enough affordable food

Giant killer mantises

A lava monster

Banjo

Some sort of ghost space

Aliens invade and take over the world. Strangely enough, life actually improves under their subjugation.

Hardship.

Concentration camps for the “undesirables” I mean we already have them for immigrants. So next step is anyone who government doesn’t like.

• powell ousted from the fed and govt seized control, leading to a massive change in fed funds rate
• prison for political enemies of trump, specifically schiff, pelosi, and a few of the louder voices in the room. Prison for some state leaders, MA and CA especially
• nationwide ban of gay marriage, nationwide laws against abortion
• capital gains reduced significantly, 20% now down to 10%
• vpn ban
• trump pushing for national acceptance of a cryptocurrency he has significant stake in, as an official act
• palestine, ukraine, and taiwan falling. Tremendous suffering continues or starts for the people of those nations
• Russia furthers its invasion into europe
• Muslims begin to be treated as scapegoats for trumps vitriol, the next victims after general immigrant deportations
• A new amendment to the constitution is proposed and passes to allow more terms for trump, with clearly questionable acceptance in state legislatures, perhaps under direct threat of jail

God I hope I’m wrong.

• Russia’s economy collapses
• China an the west try to push their preferred puppet into power in Russian power vacuum
• Libyan government overthrown backed by Turkey
• Khamenei dies (unnaturally probably)
• Turkey cracks down on the Kurds
• Taiwan’s position continues to become more precarious and loses US backing
• Mississippi water levels fall farther than ever leading to US misharvests and economic turmoil
• US continues its doom spiral

• Street wars like Bleeding Kansas

• Unmarked Federal Agents “arresting” people

• Attempt to delare national Martial Law, with varying degrees of success depending on if Democratic Governors find their spine and decide to resist or not. We’ll see if this “Federalism” thing means anything

• US dominance degrades, EU and China compete to become the new superpower in place of the US.

• Drone Bans (because the shooter at trump’s rally reportedly used a drone), and donnie is probably scared of drones. A de facto drone ban does not need to go through congress, he’ll order the FAA to impose a nationwide no-flyzone for drones. It will illegal to fly drones and the drone hobby will be gone (for at least 4 years)

• Potentially widespread usage of zero day exploits. Governments tend to only use it for high profile targets, but trump sees enemies everywhere, his administration might be crazy and start using those malware with less restraints. We could have a worldwide “Wannacrypt” moment where every phone geta a Pegasus and its so widespread that it dominates the news cycle. They’ll pull the voter registrations of anyone who registered as Democrat. Send a Pegasus to the phone numbers on record, probably also send malicious attachments to their emails. Then play it off as a “Rogue Employee” of the NSA or “Democrat Sabeteur”.

• There will be a pipe bomb sent to a high level government official, it may or may not explode, then trump declares martial law over it.

• jd vance might plot against trump, if trump dies, vance then blame Democrats for it and declare Martial Law and order arrest of Democrats.

• etc…

oh God this thread got a lot darker than I thought it would be 😭😭

sending love folks, we got this.

• Major economic issues beginning to take effect

• Widespread civil unrest

• political assassination

• emergence of Brown shirt like paramilitary groups

• stock market crash

• large scale regional blackouts

• concentration camps

• housing market crash

• targeted killings of social parasites

• guillotine use has a resurgence